The model went 68.1% (94/138) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
⭐ THE CALLED CARD — our published plays only
The route card grades thousands of reads a night. This is the record on the handful we actually called out. Held to a higher standard, on purpose.
| Window | Plays (parlay = all legs) | Individual legs |
|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 2-3 (40.0%) | 3-3 (50.0%) |
| This week | 5-4 (55.6%) | 8-4 (66.7%) |
| This month | 5-4 (55.6%) | 8-4 (66.7%) |
| This season | 5-4 (55.6%) | 8-4 (66.7%) |
Yesterday, play by play: - ✅ Parlay — Maikel Garcia H+R+RBI (✓); Drake Baldwin H+R+RBI (✓) - ❌ Anchor — JJ Wetherholt H+R+RBI (✗) - ❌ Anchor — Munetaka Murakami H+R+RBI (✗) - ✅ Anchor — Nico Hoerner H+R+RBI (✓) - ❌ Anchor — Sal Stewart H+R+RBI (✗)
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 68.1% (94/138) | 69.9% (72/103) | 62.9% (22/35) |
| This week | 71.5% (563/787) | 72.3% (459/635) | 68.4% (104/152) |
| This month | 69.8% (749/1073) | 71.3% (601/843) | 64.3% (148/230) |
| This season | 69.3% (1107/1597) | 70.0% (932/1331) | 65.8% (175/266) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 70.8% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.0% · Runs 52.0% · Runs+RBI 64.1% · Total Bases 40.0% · Home Run 20.0% · RBI 0.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 71.8% · Walks 50.0% · Outs/Length 56.1%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Chase Burns (Cincinnati Reds) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.