The model went 66.1% (72/109) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 66.1% (72/109) | 64.7% (55/85) | 70.8% (17/24) |
| This week | 70.0% (580/828) | 70.3% (466/663) | 69.1% (114/165) |
| This month | 69.5% (821/1182) | 70.7% (656/928) | 65.0% (165/254) |
| This season | 69.1% (1179/1706) | 69.7% (987/1416) | 66.2% (192/290) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 70.8% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.8% ยท Runs 52.0% ยท Runs+RBI 63.2% ยท Total Bases 40.0% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 0.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 71.8% ยท Walks 51.7% ยท Outs/Length 57.5%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Max Fried (New York Yankees) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Bobby Witt Jr. (Kansas City Royals) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.