The model went 78.2% (104/133) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 78.2% (104/133) | 76.9% (80/104) | 82.8% (24/29) |
| This week | 70.5% (586/831) | 70.2% (463/660) | 71.9% (123/171) |
| This month | 70.3% (925/1315) | 71.3% (736/1032) | 66.8% (189/283) |
| This season | 69.8% (1283/1839) | 70.2% (1067/1520) | 67.7% (216/319) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.1% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.3% ยท Runs 53.8% ยท Runs+RBI 62.8% ยท Total Bases 40.0% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 0.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.5% ยท Walks 56.2% ยท Outs/Length 60.0%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Tarik Skubal (Detroit Tigers) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Grant Taylor (Chicago White Sox) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.