The model went 80.0% (80/100) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
⭐ THE CALLED CARD — our published plays only
The route card grades thousands of reads a night. This is the record on the handful we actually called out. Held to a higher standard, on purpose.
| Window | Plays (parlay = all legs) | Individual legs |
|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 3-2 (60.0%) | 5-2 (71.4%) |
| This week | 17-7 (70.8%) | 25-7 (78.1%) |
| This month | 17-7 (70.8%) | 25-7 (78.1%) |
| This season | 17-7 (70.8%) | 25-7 (78.1%) |
Yesterday, play by play: - ✅ Parlay — Zach Neto H+R+RBI (✓); Drake Baldwin H+R+RBI (✓) - ❌ Parlay — Gavin Williams Over 5 K (✗); George Kirby Over 4.5 Hits (✓) - ✅ Anchor — Mike Trout H+R+RBI (✓) - ✅ Anchor — Oneil Cruz H+R+RBI (✓) - ❌ Anchor — Nico Hoerner H+R+RBI (✗)
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 80.0% (80/100) | 85.7% (66/77) | 60.9% (14/23) |
| This week | 71.7% (577/805) | 71.6% (452/631) | 71.8% (125/174) |
| This month | 71.0% (1005/1415) | 72.3% (802/1109) | 66.3% (203/306) |
| This season | 70.3% (1363/1939) | 70.9% (1133/1597) | 67.3% (230/342) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 74.1% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.8% · Runs 58.6% · Runs+RBI 64.0% · Total Bases 40.0% · Home Run 20.0% · RBI 0.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.2% · Walks 57.6% · Outs/Length 58.1%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Aaron Judge (New York Yankees) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Garrett Crochet (Boston Red Sox) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.