The model went 68.9% (102/148) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 68.9% (102/148) | 68.8% (75/109) | 69.2% (27/39) |
| This week | 70.8% (578/816) | 71.8% (460/641) | 67.4% (118/175) |
| This month | 70.8% (1107/1563) | 72.0% (877/1218) | 66.7% (230/345) |
| This season | 70.2% (1465/2087) | 70.8% (1208/1706) | 67.5% (257/381) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 75.0% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.6% ยท Runs 58.6% ยท Runs+RBI 63.3% ยท Total Bases 40.0% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 20.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.5% ยท Walks 60.5% ยท Outs/Length 57.6%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates) was top of the board to keep the walks down and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.