The model went 67.9% (108/159) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 67.9% (108/159) | 68.3% (86/126) | 66.7% (22/33) |
| This week | 71.4% (600/840) | 72.0% (467/649) | 69.6% (133/191) |
| This month | 70.6% (1215/1722) | 71.7% (963/1344) | 66.7% (252/378) |
| This season | 70.0% (1573/2246) | 70.6% (1294/1832) | 67.4% (279/414) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 75.9% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.2% ยท Runs 61.3% ยท Runs+RBI 64.1% ยท Total Bases 40.0% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 20.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.7% ยท Walks 61.0% ยท Outs/Length 56.9%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Seth Lugo (Kansas City Royals) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Chad Patrick (Milwaukee Brewers) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.