The model went 65.6% (103/157) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
π THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 65.6% (103/157) | 69.4% (77/111) | 56.5% (26/46) |
| This week | 69.4% (656/945) | 71.8% (532/741) | 60.8% (124/204) |
| This month | 70.3% (1763/2508) | 71.9% (1409/1959) | 64.5% (354/549) |
| This season | 70.0% (2121/3032) | 71.1% (1740/2447) | 65.1% (381/585) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 69.8% Β· Hits+Runs+RBI combo 73.0% Β· Runs 59.2% Β· Runs+RBI 63.3% Β· Total Bases 43.8% Β· Home Run 25.0% Β· RBI 44.4%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 70.2% Β· Walks 58.3% Β· Outs/Length 56.0%
ποΈ THE WRAP β what we saw that the line didn't
π― Against the grain
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) to work deep into the game β and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
π§ The honest miss
JesΓΊs Luzardo (Philadelphia Phillies) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these β the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock β watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.