The model went 71.1% (96/135) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 71.1% (96/135) | 70.4% (76/108) | 74.1% (20/27) |
| This week | 70.8% (708/1000) | 72.1% (552/766) | 66.7% (156/234) |
| This month | 70.7% (2051/2903) | 72.0% (1628/2262) | 66.0% (423/641) |
| This season | 70.3% (2409/3427) | 71.2% (1959/2750) | 66.5% (450/677) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 72.3% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.9% ยท Runs 59.6% ยท Runs+RBI 64.0% ยท Total Bases 50.0% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 44.4%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 71.2% ยท Walks 61.4% ยท Outs/Length 58.1%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Taj Bradley (Minnesota Twins) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.