The model went 69.4% (118/170) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 69.4% (118/170) | 72.6% (98/135) | 57.1% (20/35) |
| This week | 71.0% (712/1003) | 72.6% (563/776) | 65.6% (149/227) |
| This month | 70.6% (2169/3073) | 72.0% (1726/2397) | 65.5% (443/676) |
| This season | 70.3% (2527/3597) | 71.3% (2057/2885) | 66.0% (470/712) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 70.6% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 73.1% ยท Runs 60.0% ยท Runs+RBI 63.3% ยท Total Bases 55.0% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 44.4%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 69.9% ยท Walks 63.5% ยท Outs/Length 58.5%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Jeffrey Springs (Athletics) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.