The model went 66.3% (118/178) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 66.3% (118/178) | 64.0% (89/139) | 74.4% (29/39) |
| This week | 70.0% (718/1025) | 70.9% (562/793) | 67.2% (156/232) |
| This month | 70.3% (2287/3251) | 71.6% (1815/2536) | 66.0% (472/715) |
| This season | 70.1% (2645/3775) | 71.0% (2146/3024) | 66.4% (499/751) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 71.4% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.8% ยท Runs 56.9% ยท Runs+RBI 63.2% ยท Total Bases 52.4% ยท Home Run 20.0% ยท RBI 44.4%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 70.3% ยท Walks 63.2% ยท Outs/Length 59.2%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Drake Baldwin (Atlanta Braves) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a fade signal. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Justin Wrobleski (Los Angeles Dodgers) was top of the board to keep the walks down and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
โก The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup โ and the group hit at 60% (5 bats). Drake Baldwin led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.