The model went 67.0% (63/94) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
๐ THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 67.0% (63/94) | 72.5% (50/69) | 52.0% (13/25) |
| This week | 69.4% (690/994) | 70.4% (533/757) | 66.2% (157/237) |
| This month | 70.3% (2350/3345) | 71.6% (1865/2605) | 65.5% (485/740) |
| This season | 70.0% (2708/3869) | 71.0% (2196/3093) | 66.0% (512/776) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 71.9% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.8% ยท Runs 56.7% ยท Runs+RBI 63.4% ยท Total Bases 52.4% ยท Home Run 27.3% ยท RBI 44.4%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 70.0% ยท Walks 63.0% ยท Outs/Length 58.6%
๐๏ธ THE WRAP โ what we saw that the line didn't
๐ฏ Against the grain
Jack Kochanowicz (Los Angeles Angels) to work deep into the game โ and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
๐ง The honest miss
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) was top of the board to keep the walks down and came up empty. We don't bury these โ the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
โก The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup โ and the group hit at 83% (18 bats). Aaron Judge led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.