Round Robin Sports Algo

The model went 71.2% (74/104) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

๐Ÿ“Š THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window Full Card Batters Pitchers
Yesterday 71.2% (74/104) 70.9% (61/86) 72.2% (13/18)
This week 68.6% (678/988) 68.5% (531/775) 69.0% (147/213)
This month 70.1% (2633/3756) 71.1% (2083/2929) 66.5% (550/827)
This season 69.9% (2991/4280) 70.6% (2414/3417) 66.9% (577/863)

Batter markets (season): Hits 71.2% ยท Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.4% ยท Runs 55.2% ยท Runs+RBI 62.8% ยท Total Bases 54.2% ยท Home Run 23.1% ยท RBI 50.0%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 70.7% ยท Walks 64.4% ยท Outs/Length 59.8%

๐Ÿ—ž๏ธ THE WRAP โ€” what we saw that the line didn't

๐ŸŽฏ Against the grain

Bryce Elder (Atlanta Braves) to work deep into the game โ€” and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

๐ŸงŠ The honest miss

Peter Lambert (Houston Astros) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these โ€” the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

โšก The stack that paid

We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup โ€” and the group hit at 76% (33 bats). Adley Rutschman led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.


Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock โ€” watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.