The model went 67.3% (111/165) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 67.3% (111/165) | 70.5% (91/129) | 55.6% (20/36) |
| This week | 70.3% (791/1125) | 69.2% (618/893) | 74.6% (173/232) |
| This month | 71.1% (508/714) | 70.3% (400/569) | 74.5% (108/145) |
| This season | 70.1% (3499/4994) | 70.6% (2814/3986) | 68.0% (685/1008) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 74.0% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.1% · Runs 60.5% · Runs+RBI 63.3% · Total Bases 58.1% · Home Run 21.4% · RBI 50.0%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.2% · Walks 64.8% · Outs/Length 60.7%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Michael Wacha (Kansas City Royals) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Bo Bichette (New York Mets) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 59% (17 bats). Alex Bregman led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.