📋 Quick Hits Recap — Monday May 4
Backtest. simulated results, today's model calibration replayed on past games using only pre-game data. This edition was not published on this date. Live editions started September 30, 2026.
Monday: 8 of 10 (80%) on our free and members calls.
☀️ Early
- ✅ Free: Willi Castro (Colorado Rockies) — H+R+RBI 1+ · 1-for-4, 1 R
- ❌ 🔒 Members: Willson Contreras (Boston Red Sox) — H+R+RBI 2+ · 0-for-4, BB
🌤️ Midday
- ❌ Free: Maikel Garcia (Kansas City Royals) — H+R+RBI 1+ · 0-for-4
- ✅ Free: Austin Wells (New York Yankees) — H+R+RBI 1+ · 0-for-2, 2 R, 2 BB
- ✅ 🔒 Members: Aaron Judge (New York Yankees) — R+RBI 1+ · 2-for-4, HR, 2 R, 4 RBI, BB
- ✅ 🔒 Team call: Chicago Cubs to win vs. Cincinnati Reds
- ✅ 🔒 Team call: New York Yankees to win vs. Baltimore Orioles
🌙 Night
- ✅ Free: Matt Olson (Atlanta Braves) — H+R+RBI 1+ · 1-for-3, HR, 1 R, 1 RBI, BB
- ✅ Free: Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves) — H+R+RBI 1+ · 1-for-4, HR, 1 R, 1 RBI
- ✅ 🔒 Members: Josh Naylor (Seattle Mariners) — H+R+RBI 2+ · 2-for-5, 2B
🔒 Members picks are unlocked day-of on Winible and revealed here the next morning.
🔥 Above and beyond
- Aaron Judge (New York Yankees): we called R+RBI 1+ and he went 2-for-4, HR, 2 R, 4 RBI, BB.
- Matt Olson (Atlanta Braves): we called H+R+RBI 1+ and he went 1-for-3, HR, 1 R, 1 RBI, BB.
- Ozzie Albies (Atlanta Braves): we called H+R+RBI 1+ and he went 1-for-4, HR, 1 R, 1 RBI.
- Josh Naylor (Seattle Mariners): we called H+R+RBI 2+ and he went 2-for-5, 2B.
📊 Record: regular season backtest through May 4
- Free picks (The Steady Ones): 132 of 171 (77.2%)
- Members card (free + members picks): 229 of 365 (62.7%)
Every call is graded against the official box score the next morning, wins and losses.