The model went 70.4% (112/159) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	70.4% (112/159)	67.2% (80/119)	80.0% (32/40)
This week	70.7% (804/1137)	69.2% (622/899)	76.5% (182/238)
This month	71.0% (620/873)	69.8% (480/688)	75.7% (140/185)
This season	70.1% (3611/5153)	70.5% (2894/4105)	68.4% (717/1048)

Batter markets (season): Hits 74.0% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 72.0% · Runs 60.5% · Runs+RBI 63.2% · Total Bases 58.1% · Home Run 21.4% · RBI 50.0%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.4% · Walks 65.4% · Outs/Length 61.5%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

Ildemaro Vargas (Arizona Diamondbacks) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a fade signal. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Kevin Gausman (Toronto Blue Jays) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The stack that paid

We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 62% (13 bats). Adrian Del Castillo led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.

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Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.