The model went 61.3% (106/173) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	61.3% (106/173)	62.7% (94/150)	52.2% (12/23)
This week	69.6% (800/1150)	68.7% (635/924)	73.0% (165/226)
This month	69.4% (726/1046)	68.5% (574/838)	73.1% (152/208)
This season	69.8% (3717/5326)	70.2% (2988/4255)	68.1% (729/1071)

Batter markets (season): Hits 73.5% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.6% · Runs 60.0% · Runs+RBI 63.2% · Total Bases 58.1% · Home Run 21.4% · RBI 54.5%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 71.8% · Walks 65.1% · Outs/Length 61.7%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

Zack Wheeler (Philadelphia Phillies) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Freddy Peralta (New York Mets) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The matchup that didn't land

We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 33% (15 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.

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Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.