The model went 60.9% (92/151) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 60.9% (92/151) | 57.5% (69/120) | 74.2% (23/31) |
| This week | 69.0% (784/1137) | 67.8% (614/905) | 73.3% (170/232) |
| This month | 69.5% (910/1309) | 68.4% (719/1051) | 74.0% (191/258) |
| This season | 69.8% (3901/5589) | 70.1% (3133/4468) | 68.5% (768/1121) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.3% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.5% · Runs 61.9% · Runs+RBI 62.7% · Total Bases 59.4% · Home Run 31.2% · RBI 54.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.3% · Walks 66.7% · Outs/Length 61.5%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Emerson Hancock (Seattle Mariners) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Leody Taveras (Baltimore Orioles) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The matchup that didn't land
We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 35% (23 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.