The model went 75.0% (48/64) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	75.0% (48/64)	73.3% (33/45)	78.9% (15/19)
This week	66.7% (663/994)	64.8% (508/784)	73.8% (155/210)
This month	68.6% (1171/1708)	67.1% (908/1353)	74.1% (263/355)
This season	69.5% (4162/5988)	69.6% (3322/4770)	69.0% (840/1218)

Batter markets (season): Hits 73.9% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.9% · Runs 62.4% · Runs+RBI 62.8% · Total Bases 57.1% · Home Run 31.2% · RBI 54.5%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.8% · Walks 68.5% · Outs/Length 61.6%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

Peter Lambert (Houston Astros) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Trevor McDonald (San Francisco Giants) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The matchup that didn't land

We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 44% (9 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.

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Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.