The model went 76.3% (116/152) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 76.3% (116/152) | 74.0% (94/127) | 88.0% (22/25) |
| This week | 67.6% (667/987) | 65.9% (522/792) | 74.4% (145/195) |
| This month | 69.2% (1287/1860) | 67.7% (1002/1480) | 75.0% (285/380) |
| This season | 69.7% (4278/6140) | 69.8% (3416/4897) | 69.3% (862/1243) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.4% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.9% · Runs 64.2% · Runs+RBI 63.3% · Total Bases 57.1% · Home Run 31.2% · RBI 54.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.1% · Walks 68.8% · Outs/Length 62.0%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Yoshinobu Yamamoto (Los Angeles Dodgers) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Julio Rodríguez (Seattle Mariners) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 71% (7 bats). Josh Naylor led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.