The model went 69.7% (83/119) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	69.7% (83/119)	63.6% (56/88)	87.1% (27/31)
This week	68.5% (684/998)	65.5% (504/769)	78.6% (180/229)
This month	69.7% (1502/2156)	67.9% (1154/1700)	76.3% (348/456)
This season	69.8% (4493/6436)	69.7% (3568/5117)	70.1% (925/1319)

Batter markets (season): Hits 72.2% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.8% · Runs 63.7% · Runs+RBI 63.9% · Total Bases 57.1% · Home Run 31.2% · RBI 54.5%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.9% · Walks 70.2% · Outs/Length 62.5%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

Nolan McLean (New York Mets) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Julio Rodríguez (Seattle Mariners) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The matchup that didn't land

We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 38% (16 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.

---

Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.