The model went 72.3% (120/166) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 72.3% (120/166) | 75.2% (103/137) | 58.6% (17/29) |
| This week | 73.4% (758/1033) | 72.3% (572/791) | 76.9% (186/242) |
| This month | 70.3% (1881/2677) | 68.9% (1447/2099) | 75.1% (434/578) |
| This season | 70.0% (4872/6957) | 70.0% (3861/5516) | 70.2% (1011/1441) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.8% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.1% · Runs 63.1% · Runs+RBI 63.7% · Total Bases 56.8% · Home Run 33.3% · RBI 54.5%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.4% · Walks 71.4% · Outs/Length 63.3%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Peter Lambert (Houston Astros) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Mickey Moniak (Colorado Rockies) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 75% (8 bats). Chase Meidroth led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.