The model went 79.6% (74/93) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 79.6% (74/93) | 78.9% (60/76) | 82.4% (14/17) |
| This week | 73.8% (784/1062) | 72.9% (599/822) | 77.1% (185/240) |
| This month | 70.6% (1955/2770) | 69.3% (1507/2175) | 75.3% (448/595) |
| This season | 70.2% (4946/7050) | 70.1% (3921/5592) | 70.3% (1025/1458) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.8% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.2% · Runs 63.4% · Runs+RBI 63.9% · Total Bases 55.3% · Home Run 31.6% · RBI 58.3%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.6% · Walks 70.9% · Outs/Length 63.3%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays) to factor into the scoring (run or RBI) — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a fade signal. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Elly De La Cruz (Cincinnati Reds) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
⚡ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 84% (19 bats). Carson Benge led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.