The model went 54.9% (39/71) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	54.9% (39/71)	49.1% (26/53)	72.2% (13/18)
This week	71.5% (708/990)	71.4% (558/781)	71.8% (150/209)
This month	70.2% (2210/3146)	69.0% (1712/2481)	74.9% (498/665)
This season	70.0% (5201/7426)	70.0% (4126/5898)	70.4% (1075/1528)

Batter markets (season): Hits 74.3% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.0% · Runs 64.1% · Runs+RBI 63.7% · Total Bases 57.5% · Home Run 31.8% · RBI 56.2%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.7% · Walks 70.5% · Outs/Length 63.2%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

José Soriano (Los Angeles Angels) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Otto Lopez (Miami Marlins) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The matchup that didn't land

We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 43% (7 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.

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Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.