The model went 64.1% (91/142) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 64.1% (91/142) | 64.4% (65/101) | 63.4% (26/41) |
| This week | 70.8% (672/949) | 71.2% (526/739) | 69.5% (146/210) |
| This month | 70.0% (2301/3288) | 68.8% (1777/2582) | 74.2% (524/706) |
| This season | 69.9% (5292/7568) | 69.9% (4191/5999) | 70.2% (1101/1569) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 74.6% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.9% · Runs 64.1% · Runs+RBI 63.5% · Total Bases 57.5% · Home Run 31.8% · RBI 56.2%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.5% · Walks 71.7% · Outs/Length 62.9%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Payton Tolle (Boston Red Sox) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.