The model went 57.1% (12/21) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
📊 THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 57.1% (12/21) | 55.6% (10/18) | 66.7% (2/3) |
| This week | 67.4% (527/782) | 67.4% (425/631) | 67.5% (102/151) |
| This month | 69.6% (2408/3459) | 68.6% (1872/2730) | 73.5% (536/729) |
| This season | 69.8% (5399/7739) | 69.7% (4286/6147) | 69.9% (1113/1592) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 73.9% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.8% · Runs 63.6% · Runs+RBI 63.3% · Total Bases 57.5% · Home Run 30.4% · RBI 52.9%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.2% · Walks 71.4% · Outs/Length 62.6%
🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't
🎯 Against the grain
Dylan Cease (Toronto Blue Jays) to clear his strikeout number — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as on our radar. It cashed.
🧊 The honest miss
Sal Stewart (Cincinnati Reds) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.