The model went 66.5% (105/158) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	66.5% (105/158)	64.4% (85/132)	76.9% (20/26)
This week	65.9% (558/847)	65.5% (450/687)	67.5% (108/160)
This month	69.5% (2513/3617)	68.4% (1957/2862)	73.6% (556/755)
This season	69.7% (5504/7897)	69.6% (4371/6279)	70.0% (1133/1618)

Batter markets (season): Hits 74.8% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.7% · Runs 62.6% · Runs+RBI 63.0% · Total Bases 59.5% · Home Run 33.3% · RBI 52.9%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.2% · Walks 71.0% · Outs/Length 63.0%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

Michael Wacha (Kansas City Royals) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Brent Rooker (Athletics) was top of the board to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The matchup that didn't land

We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 52% (27 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.

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Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.