The model went 69.7% (101/145) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.
π THE LEDGER
Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.
| Window | Full Card | Batters | Pitchers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 69.7% (101/145) | 68.2% (73/107) | 73.7% (28/38) |
| This week | 67.1% (574/855) | 67.0% (450/672) | 67.8% (124/183) |
| This month | 69.8% (2745/3930) | 68.9% (2136/3100) | 73.4% (609/830) |
| This season | 69.9% (5736/8210) | 69.8% (4550/6517) | 70.1% (1186/1693) |
Batter markets (season): Hits 74.4% Β· Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.9% Β· Runs 63.6% Β· Runs+RBI 62.8% Β· Total Bases 58.1% Β· Home Run 36.0% Β· RBI 52.9%
Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.1% Β· Walks 70.9% Β· Outs/Length 63.4%
ποΈ THE WRAP β what we saw that the line didn't
π― Against the grain
Cristopher SΓ‘nchez (Philadelphia Phillies) to work deep into the game β and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.
π§ The honest miss
Michael Soroka (Arizona Diamondbacks) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these β the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.
β‘ The stack that paid
We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup β and the group hit at 72% (18 bats). Corbin Carroll led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.
Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock β watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.