The model went 70.6% (48/68) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	70.6% (48/68)	68.6% (35/51)	76.5% (13/17)
This week	68.4% (583/852)	68.5% (459/670)	68.1% (124/182)
This month	69.9% (2793/3998)	68.9% (2171/3151)	73.4% (622/847)
This season	69.9% (5784/8278)	69.8% (4585/6568)	70.1% (1199/1710)

Batter markets (season): Hits 74.4% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 70.9% · Runs 63.6% · Runs+RBI 62.9% · Total Bases 58.1% · Home Run 36.0% · RBI 55.6%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 73.3% · Walks 71.1% · Outs/Length 63.1%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

Spencer Arrighetti (Houston Astros) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Dillon Dingler (Detroit Tigers) was a confident lean to record a hit, run, or RBI and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The stack that paid

We leaned into a cluster of hitters drawing a soft pitching matchup — and the group hit at 89% (9 bats). Chase Meidroth led the way, exactly the spot the model loves to attack.

---

Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.