The model went 74.5% (114/153) on the full card yesterday. Here's the tape.

📊 THE LEDGER

Every pick the model graded. Win or lose, it goes on the board.

Window	Full Card	Batters	Pitchers
Yesterday	74.5% (114/153)	73.7% (87/118)	77.1% (27/35)
This week	71.6% (638/891)	71.9% (505/702)	70.4% (133/189)
This month	70.1% (3034/4329)	69.3% (2367/3414)	72.9% (667/915)
This season	70.0% (6025/8609)	70.0% (4781/6831)	70.0% (1244/1778)

Batter markets (season): Hits 73.3% · Hits+Runs+RBI combo 71.1% · Runs 64.5% · Runs+RBI 63.0% · Total Bases 54.3% · Home Run 33.3% · RBI 57.9%

Pitcher markets (season): Strikeouts 72.9% · Walks 71.5% · Outs/Length 63.2%

🗞️ THE WRAP — what we saw that the line didn't

🎯 Against the grain

Ryan Weathers (New York Yankees) to work deep into the game — and did. The matchup screamed coin-flip to the public, but the model had it flagged as a calculated dart. It cashed.

🧊 The honest miss

Michael King (San Diego Padres) was top of the board to clear his strikeout number and came up empty. We don't bury these — the model's edge is built over a full season, not any single night.

⚡ The matchup that didn't land

We leaned into a soft-matchup hitter cluster and it came up short — 17% (6 bats). Some days the spot is right and the results aren't. We log it and move on.

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Grades posted every morning. Today's plays drop as lineups lock — watch for the Early / Mid / Late editions.