NFL Picks Recap, Week 2 2026 (Backtest)

🧪 Backtest. Replayed with today's rules on point-in-time data (last pregame prices); this edition was not posted live. Not replayable for these weeks: the DraftKings line check and injury / market-move notes.

Our free picks went 71% (17 of 24) this week.

	This week	Season
✅ Free picks	17 of 24	39 of 53
🔒 Members props (incl. free)	37 of 56	90 of 141
🏈 Anytime TDs	5 of 6	17 of 20
🎲 Premium unders	3 of 5	11 of 15
🎲 High-confidence spread picks	4 of 5	12 of 16
🎲 Strong moneylines / spreads	0 of 0	4 of 4

🔥 Hits

Tyler Warren under 60 receiving yards (-257) — finished with 21 receiving yards 🎲
Colston Loveland under 70 receiving yards (-233) — finished with 3 receiving yards 🎲
Mark Andrews under 50 receiving yards (-138) — finished with 49 receiving yards 🎲
C.J. Stroud 15+ completions (-1567) — finished with 30 completions
Joe Burrow 1+ passing TDs (-426) — finished with 2 passing TDs
Bucky Irving 12+ carries (-376) — finished with 17 carries
Jared Goff 1+ passing TDs (-525) — finished with 4 passing TDs
Jahmyr Gibbs under 100 rushing yards (-170) — finished with 52 rushing yards
Patrick Mahomes 15+ completions (-900) — finished with 32 completions
Brenton Strange 2+ catches (-488) — finished with 2 catches
Oronde Gadsden II 15+ receiving yards (+113) — finished with 18 receiving yards
Brock Purdy 15+ completions (-1329) — finished with 20 completions
Matthew Stafford 1+ passing TDs (-809) — finished with 4 passing TDs
Matthew Stafford 17+ completions (-614) — finished with 22 completions
Tony Pollard 9+ carries (-456) — finished with 14 carries
Carnell Tate 25+ receiving yards (-233) — finished with 27 receiving yards
Jacoby Brissett 17+ completions (-614) — finished with 17 completions
Jeremiyah Love 7+ carries (-426) — finished with 9 carries
Terry McLaurin 25+ receiving yards (-400) — finished with 50 receiving yards
Jayden Daniels 1+ passing TDs (-335) — finished with 1 passing TD
Darren Waller over 15.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 33 receiving yards 🔒
Joe Burrow under 248.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 207 passing yards 🔒
Ja'Marr Chase under 77.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 75 receiving yards 🔒
Quinshon Judkins under 48.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 21 rushing yards 🔒
Harold Fannin Jr. over 33.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 54 receiving yards 🔒
Jahmyr Gibbs to score a TD (anytime) (-213) 🔒
Breece Hall under 63.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 29 rushing yards 🔒
Jonathan Taylor to score a TD (anytime) (-122) 🔒
Daniel Jones under 213.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 210 passing yards 🔒
Christian McCaffrey to score a TD (anytime) (-194) 🔒
Demarcus Robinson over 1.5 catches (-110) — finished with 3 catches 🔒
Caleb Williams under 222.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 138 passing yards 🔒
Carson Wentz under 213.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 143 passing yards 🔒
D'Andre Swift under 61.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 45 rushing yards 🔒
Derrick Henry to score a TD (anytime) (-203) 🔒
Justice Hill under 12.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 6 rushing yards 🔒
Juwan Johnson over 37.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 66 receiving yards 🔒
Kyren Williams to score a TD (anytime) (-144) 🔒
Malik Nabers under 59.5 receiving yards (-110) — finished with 1 receiving yard 🔒
Darnell Mooney over 1.5 catches (-110) — finished with 2 catches 🔒
Jaxson Dart under 34.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 0 rushing yards 🔒
Cam Ward under 185.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 183 passing yards 🔒
Rico Dowdle under 32.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 22 rushing yards 🔒
Aaron Rodgers under 207.5 passing yards (-110) — finished with 187 passing yards 🔒
George Holani under 28.5 rushing yards (-110) — finished with 13 rushing yards 🔒

🚀 Above and beyond

C.J. Stroud: we said 15+, he doubled it with 30 completions
Patrick Mahomes: we said 15+, he doubled it with 32 completions
Terry McLaurin: we said 25+, he doubled it with 50 receiving yards
Demarcus Robinson: we said 1.5+, he cleared the 3+ stretch with 3 catches
Darren Waller: we said 15.5+, he cleared the 20+ stretch with 33 receiving yards
Juwan Johnson: we said 37.5+, he cleared the 40+ stretch with 66 receiving yards
Harold Fannin Jr.: we said 33.5+, he cleared the 40+ stretch with 54 receiving yards

🔁 Repeat calls

✅ BUF: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
➖ Christian McCaffrey: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 3 calls hit
❌ Dalton Kincaid: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 2 calls hit
❌ Dalton Schultz: on our list 2 games running, 0 of 2 calls hit
❌ Darnell Washington: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 2 calls hit
✅ Darren Waller: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
✅ Derrick Henry: on our list 2 games running, 3 of 3 calls hit
✅ Jahmyr Gibbs: on our list 2 games running, 3 of 4 calls hit
✅ Jayden Daniels: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
❌ Jaylen Warren: on our list 2 games running, 0 of 2 calls hit
✅ Jonathan Taylor: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
✅ Juwan Johnson: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
❌ Kyle Pitts: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 4 calls hit
➖ Kyren Williams: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 3 calls hit
✅ Rico Dowdle: on our list 2 games running, 2 of 2 calls hit
❌ Trevor Lawrence: on our list 2 games running, 1 of 2 calls hit

😬 So close

4 picks lost by a hair:

Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 1+ passing TDs · Free — needed 1, got 0: 1 passing TD short
Drake Maye (NE) 1+ passing TDs · Free — needed 1, got 0: 1 passing TD short
Jaylen Warren (PIT) under 40.5 rushing yards · Members — needed 40 or fewer, got 43: 3 rushing yards over
Greg Dulcich (MIA) over 18.5 receiving yards · Members — needed 19, got 17: 2 receiving yards short

🏟️ Game picks (All-Access)

✅ BUF -4.5 — final DET 31, BUF 41
✅ CAR -1.5 — final CAR 34, ATL 3
✅ MIN +5.5 — final MIN 9, CHI 3
✅ DAL -3.5 — final WAS 20, DAL 37
❌ NYG +7.5 — final NYG 6, LA 28

Every pick, wins and losses, at the price we posted. Full record: rrsalgo.com/nfl/record/